The Simplest Way to Invest #2

In the previous post, we talked about the importance of risk sharing and the need to create a portfolio to share risk. We said that the first step in creating a portfolio is to look at the P / B ratio of the shares we will buy. This ratio helps us to understand whether the lots we will buy are cheap or expensive. You can check the previous post for detailed information on this subject. In this post we will examine a sample portfolio.

Warning: This is not investment advice. The chart below is from 2015 and is without details. It was created to give an idea. The following companies are in Turkey.

In the first quarter of 2015, while looking at the P / B ratios of the company shares, I saw that the P / B ratios of ECILC, DOHOL, VESTL and TRGYO companies were low. This means their shares are cheap.

The blue line in the chart below shows the average earnings of these four companies ECILC, DOHOL, VESTL and TRGYO over 2015. The orange line shows the average earnings of the 100 largest companies on the stock market in Turkey (BIST100).

As you can see, the index created with these four companies has gained value in a year. I formed the index of the portfolio by looking at the values of the last four days of the stock exchange’s closing in 2014. The index of the portfolio was roughly 1480 at the time, while the BIST was around 400. By the end of 2015, while BIST did not even reach 500, the portfolio I created approached roughly 2300. This means that when 100 thousand Turkish Lira was invested, it became 155 thousand Turkish Liras at the end of 2015. If this performance continues for five years, when 100 thousand Turkish liras are invested, it becomes approximately 1 million 280 thousand Turkish Liras in five years. However, this portfolio may not show the same performance for five years.

When we create a portfolio, we need to check the P / B ratios of the companies we buy from their shares, and when we determine that the ratio has reached saturation according to itself and the sector, we need to sell our shares. Now we can get our profit. Then we can buy another cheap stock with a low P / B ratio and add it to our portfolio. If the P / B ratio of the company whose shares we bought does not reach saturation for many years, we can continue to make profit without effort.

Here, it is necessary to mention the loss of value of money. Suppose we buy 100 thousand Turkish Liras worth of shares and sell our shares for 1 million 280 thousand Turkish Liras at the end of five years. When we look at the inflation values between 2015 and 2020, we see that the purchasing power of 100 thousand Turkish Lira at the beginning of 2015 is equal to the purchasing power of 550 thousand Turkish Lira at the beginning of 2020. Still, we made 175% profit.

In this example, we saw that we made a profit without tiring ourselves on an investment we made just by looking at the P / B ratio. If we make the right investment and follow it correctly, we can easily make a profit. To be able to do this, there is no need to stress, watch the stock market for hours, sit in front of the screen all the time, learn technical analysis terms…

If you want to start investing, you can start by trying to identify stocks with a low P / B ratio. If you don’t have any experience yet, create a portfolio and follow it without buying shares. Or buy one lot from each of the companies you choose. This will cost around $ 25-50 on average. Follow the lots in your portfolio for a few months with online banking. By taking such small steps, you can start investing and gain experience.

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The Simplest Way to Invest #1

People think investing is dangerous, risky or scary. But the only thing to do is to learn how to invest without worrying. Investing cannot be learned overnight. Still, it is something you can move forward quickly. It is possible to create the right portfolio by looking at very simple indicators and making very simple analyzes.

You need to create a portfolio for risk sharing. Professional investors say “don’t put all your eggs in one basket”. Because if all your eggs are in one basket, you may lose all your eggs when something happens to your basket. In this case, you have nothing else to compensate for your loss. Novice investors often make this mistake. However, when things go wrong, you should be able to balance the loss from one investment with another. If you have many baskets, it won’t be a big problem if one of your baskets falls. That’s why we must diversify our investments and create a portfolio.

As the first step in creating a portfolio, we should look at the P/B ratio of the companies we will buy shares. This ratio helps us to have an idea about whether the lot we will buy from that company is cheap or not. If the ratio of Market Value (P) and Book Value (B) is less than 1, the share is cheap. When it is higher than 1, we say the share is expensive. But of course this is not always the case. Sometimes, even if a company’s P/B ratio is 4, we consider that company’s stock cheap. Because the industry of the company may have started to improve. As a result of this, all profit rates and market values of companies in that sector increase. While the ratio of the company we are looking at is 4, the P/ B ratios of other companies in the sector may have reached values such as 8, 10, 15. Then we can think that the share of this company is cheaper than other companies for now and will be valued. However, the reason why a company’s stock is cheap is important. Is this company not yet valued in the industry or does this company have a problem? Did the company borrow money but couldn’t pay its debts? Was there a negative news in the media? Does the company have foreclosed assets? Is the owner / CEO a bad reputation?

It’s easy to learn all this. After typing the name of the company and “P/B ratio”, search on google. In the results, there will be sites showing the company owner, company executives and company partners. You can also search those names on the internet. Explore, find the site you can read most comfortably. What you have to do is google the code of a company that has publicly listed shares on the stock exchange. On the Internet you will find announcements, postings and notifications made by the company. Check them out too.

Let’s say you looked at company executives, company’s announcements and investments; you did not see anything negative. While the company’s P / B ratio was 4, the others in the same sector were 10, 15. If you haven’t seen anything negative, you can say that the shares of this company are cheap for now even though the P / B ratio is higher than 1. The cheaper will be valued. You can now add this company to your portfolio for medium term investment. But remember, don’t put all your eggs in one basket.

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How Can You Prepare Yourself for Economic Changes and Your Retirement Days? Don’t Stuck In Case You Lose Your Job

I met a few people on social media recently. The lives of these people and what they do in one day seemed very interesting to me. Let me introduce two of these guys to you:

At first glance, these guys are firemen. So, they are public officials. They probably didn’t have any higher education. They only work two days a week. They have employment security, regular salaries and retirement plans. They also invest professionally three days a week. Their “side income” is quite high. These people have made great fortunes with their investments. Lastly, they can relax and spend time with their families two days a week.

One of these men buys old houses and rents them out. Currently, he owns forty-five houses with a monthly return of ten thousand dollars after paying debt installments, taxes, maintenance and repair costs, management and insurance expenses. His salary as a fireman is approximately 1200 dollars. He is five years into retirement and his goal is to increase his annual income to two hundred thousand dollars when he is 56 years old. Not bad for a public official with four children.

The other person does company analysis and deals with stocks and long-term transactions. Its current portfolio is over three million dollars. If he turns it into cash, he gets ten percent interest per year, which equates to three hundred thousand dollars. In all market conditions. But be sure his annual income is much more than that. Not bad for a public employee with two children.

Both of these men could have retired in their forties after twenty years of investment. But they chose to work and take advantage of retirement as public officials. Now, they have the advantage of operating in both areas, both as employees and investors.

I know many people who have a lot of money in their retirement accounts but don’t feel secure. They make up their retirement savings from the money they earn by working. Unfortunately, they know very little about investment. They wouldn’t know what to do if their savings melted away and their working life ended.

In times of major economic changes, wealth changes hands. Regardless of your economic situation, it’s important to invest in financial education. Because when time and conditions change, it is necessary to be prepared for the new situation. So you won’t be afraid. Although no one can see the future, it is good to take precautions and be prepared for all conditions. Therefore, it is necessary to start obtaining information as soon as possible.

Economic changes have already begun due to company sales and mergers. A businessman who recently sold his company had fifteen million dollars in his account, but those who worked with him had to look for new jobs. In such cases, anger is felt along with sadness at farewell parties. Employees realize that they make their bosses rich, not themselves, in return for years of hard work.

The truth is that bosses are not supposed to make their employees rich. Their responsibility in this regard is only to ensure that salaries are paid. Being rich depends on everyone’s own will and effort. What to do to become rich starts when the salary is received. If a person is not good at managing finance, he cannot continue to have wealth, even if he has all the money in the world. He eventually loses it all. The important thing is not to gain wealth and prosperity, but to sustain them.

If you can manage your money wisely, educate yourself about being an investor or a company owner. So, you are on your way to achieving personal wealth and financial freedom.

The difference between someone who is rich and can maintain it and someone who is not, is basically the way they use their money and leisure time.

Learning to invest and allocating time and budget for it saves much more free time and money in the long run. Do your best while at work, but also make sure you make efficient use of your wage and free time after work. It is not very wise to enrich others with your lifelong labor. If you make a commitment to work for yourself, you can achieve financial freedom in time.

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Getting Rich More Quickly

Study the lives of billionaires who came from nothing. You will find that the reason almost all of them can quickly move to financial freedom is investing or owning a company. Because there is legal convenience for people who earn income in these ways. So, it’s easier for investors or business owners to get rich quick. You can also achieve your financial freedom faster in case your money works for you.

Achieving Financial Freedom

Debts and taxes are two barriers to many people’s financial freedom. To quickly achieve financial security or freedom, it is necessary to own a company or to invest. For this, it is necessary to know that the important thing is not employment security but financial security and financial freedom, and also to understand the difference between them.

The Difference

  1. Employment Security
  2. Financial Security
  3. Financial Freedom

What most people believe is to complete higher education, start a job and retire in that profession. A large segment places emphasis on employment security in this way. They think that employment security is financial security, until they see that they lose their job and cannot find another job. None of them even consider the possibility of losing their job. However, wealthy people do not even speak of the term employment security. They talk about financial security.

Employment Security

People who care about employment security do their jobs very well. Most of them have devoted many years to training and gaining work experience. Although they have retirement plans, they do not know how to invest. They don’t feel safe because they are only trained to work or fulfill their profession.

It’s Always Good to Have Two Legs Instead of One Leg

To get more financial security, you will also need additional income and it will be important to educate yourself to earn those extra income. Whether you are an employee, a company owner or an investor, if you trust your skill, you will naturally feel more secure even if you don’t have much money. Knowledge means power… All you have to do is wait for the right opportunity to use that information and then you will have money anyway.

That’s why we were created with two legs. If we were one-legged, we would always stall, we would not feel safe. A person who is both actively working and investing with his savings is two-legged. Having knowledge on both sides gives us confidence. Those who know nothing but their job or profession are one-legged. Every time the economy goes down, they suffer far more disruptions than two legged ones.

Financial Security

Rather than investing the money in a retirement account and waiting for the highest return, self-taught people to be both employees and investors value financial freedom. I suggest you learn to be a professional investor in the same way we study at school to learn a profession.

The question that the reporter mentioned in the previous post had to ask the investor who earned a million dollars in the asset column but did not pay taxes was actually this:

“How did you get a million dollars?”

This was the main question. It is easy to find legal opportunities to avoid paying taxes. However, earning a million dollars is not easy.

Let’s also take a look at financial security through the eyes of “self-employed” people:

The average American millionaires are self-employed, live frugal, invest long-term.

The path from self-employment to company ownership is followed by big entrepreneurs like Bill Gates. While it is not easy, it is perhaps the best.

Operating in Different Fields

So being educated in more than one field gives more advantages than being well educated in just one. Did you know that wealthy people earn, on average, seventy percent of their earnings from their investments or companies, and the remaining thirty percent as employees or self-employed? No matter how much money you make, knowing how to increase your money will increase your assurance. Financial security is the ability to earn income from both sides independently of each other.

Financial Freedom

This path leads to real financial security, because there is one thing in common between those who earn income as company owners and those who earn as investors: they have people who work for them and make them earn money. Also, they make their money work for them. They work if they want, they don’t work if they don’t. Thanks to their knowledge in two areas, they do not have to work physically.

This is the path the billionaires take. This path shows the revenue models of Bill Gates from Microsoft, Rupert Murdoch from News Corp., Warren Buffett from Berkshire Hathaway, and Ross Perot.

Warning: Owning a company and being an investor are very different. I have seen many successful company owners who have sold their companies for millions of dollars. They like to think that their money is an indicator of how high their intelligence is, so they step into becoming investors and lose everything. A different game is played in each income generation model, different rules apply. Therefore, I strongly recommend that you be informed.

Just like financial security, operating in two areas will provide more stability to the person in the world of financial freedom.

You may want to read: WHICH PATH ARE YOU MORE INCLINED TO? (EMPLOYEE, SELF-EMPLOYED, EMPLOYER OR INVESTOR)

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You are the Person to Take Control of Your Investments

Rich people use much more leverage than poor people. If you want to get rich, you need leverage. If you really want to get rich, you need a lot of leverage.

We mentioned about leverage before. Now let’s talk about another thing we need to achieve a better economic situation, control power.

People who earn are careful about their thoughts. They don’t think they can’t. They don’t say “This is too risky.”. They don’t back down by saying “I cannot afford this.” Instead, they ask “How can I do this?” or “How can I reduce my risk?” or “How can I afford this?” People who invest to earn money are also extremely careful when choosing people for financial advice. Just as Olympic athletes should be careful when choosing foods that go into their bodies, investors who invest to earn must be careful with advice that will enter their minds. This process may sometimes involve cleansing your mind from old thoughts.

Control Power

Investors who invest to earn want control as well as leverage. People think investing is risky because they have no control.

Think of a car. A car with steering wheel, brake, accelerator, gear and engine. Just imagine if you could drive without any of these. If you got into a car without a steering wheel, could you drive that car?

Many people think investing is risky because they lack control. Imagine investing in mutual funds, stocks, bonds or savings accounts without any knowledge. When you invest in these tools without being able to answer the questions of what will happen next, how they will be traded, or how they will be affected by price volatility, you have almost no control over them.

Interestingly, most of the people who invest are not trained in this field. Driving a car requires at least a driver’s license to show that the driver has been trained and can drive a car.

The lack of control of uninformed and inexperienced investment advisors, financial planners and stockbrokers also makes things worse. For this reason, they make recommendations “Diversify, diversify, diversify”. Diversification is something you will need when you are out of control. Warren Buffett doesn’t diversify because he’s investing in a controlled manner. It buys either all or most of the shares of a business.

Lack of Control

Most people feel powerless because they have no control over their work. I know many people who lost their jobs not because they were bad employees, but because their companies were sold. More and more people feel like they are losing control, as there are many jobs shifting overseas these days. It is difficult to feel safe when you have little control over your job and salary and invest in assets over which you have no control, such as blind investments in savings accounts, stocks, bonds and mutual funds.

There are three reasons people find it risky to invest.

– They have very little financial education.

– They invest in investment instruments over which they cannot control.

-They get investment advice from salespeople and these salespeople have no control over the investment.

Once you understand the use of leverage, your next task is to make sure you have control.

Control is all about education. The more financially educated we are, the sooner we distinguish between advantageous and unfavorable situations. It is also much easier to sort out the bad ones among the good ideas.

Life is full of risks. We don’t have full control – at least not as much control as we think we have. But by getting educated, making reasonable choices, and having a positive attitude, we can reduce risk. Many people have achieved magnificent successes, even when “fortune is not on their side.” They have won because they have decided to take control of their destiny and refuse to give up.

One of the ways to gain control is to always have the big picture in your mind. When people talk about the big picture, I usually think of a tapestry. If you look from behind an extremely beautiful and invaluable tapestry, all you will see will be many knots. Sometimes it’s all that people can see, because they haven’t seen the completed design on the other side yet.

One of the ways to gain control is to always have the big picture in your mind. When people talk about the big picture, I usually think of a tapestry. If you look from the back at an extremely beautiful and invaluable tapestry, you will only see many tiny knots. Sometimes it’s all that people can see, because they haven’t seen the completed design on the other side yet.

Someone once told me that there are many knots in his life that he could not untie. I quickly realized that his problem was simply that he wasn’t visualizing his own tapestry. He was quite relieved when I told him about it.

Look at the situations from the other side. It will help you gain control and gain insight into how to deal with problems and people. At the very least, you have to be able to control what is going on around you as much as you don’t get stuck with your life being full of knots.

You may not have control over many things, but you can start with yourself. The real leverage is brain power. Winners accept responsibility and retain control.

Review your life today. Can you choose how you spend your day, or are you told how you should spend your day? Do you direct your financial investments or do you leave this business to someone else?

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The Difference Between A Good Investor And A Bad Investor

Many people invest in mutual funds. When I ask someone, who is investing in mutual funds, he answers: “But I am also investing. I have a portfolio of mutual funds. I also have bonds and stocks. Isn’t this all investment?”.

Yes, saving is also an investment. Buying mutual funds, stocks or bonds is also an investment. But it is the kind of investment a saver would make, not an investor.

Let’s take a look at the passive investor philosophy. Most investment advisors provide a recommendation like that:

• Work hard

• Save money

• Get rid of your debt

• Make long-term investments

• Diversify your investments

This is good advice for a certain group of people – suitable for people with a savings philosophy or passive investors. In today’s circumstances, I believe this advice is riskier than any financial advice. It may seem as a reliable and wise advice to those who are financially inexperienced.

There is only one word to distinguish between a saver and an investor. That word is leverage. Thanks to leverage, you have the ability to do more with less.

Many savers do not use financial leverage. And if you don’t have enough financial knowledge or experience to apply leverage, it would be better for you not to use it. I will explain this to you later. Let’s take a look at these standard recommendations from the perspective of the saver and then the investor.

Work Hard

When many people think of “work hard” advice, they only think about their own hard work. The leverage effect on one’s own hard work is very small. Imagine if others will help you to get rich with their hard work. This is the power of leverage. States do not ask us to seek jobs, but to create jobs. If everybody starts looking for work, economies will collapse. For economies to grow, we need people who can create jobs.

Save Money

The problem with saving money is that the current economic system needs borrowers, not savers, to grow. In order for our economic system to continue to grow, it needs smart borrowers. The system does not need people who get poor by borrowing, but people who can borrow money and get rich. While 10 percent of the people who borrow money in the world benefit from their debts to be rich, 90 percent of them become poor with their debts. And this ratio is getting worse every day.

Get Rid of Your Debt

Many savers think that debt is bad and it’s smart to pay off mortgage loans quickly. And for many people, borrowing is bad and getting rid of debt is wise. However, if you are willing to devote some time to your financial education, you can use your debt to move forward. But if you are considering investing with debt, I would like to warn you once again that you should invest in your financial education first.

There is good debt and bad debt. Being financially smart is knowing when to borrow and when to avoid it.

In these economic conditions, savers are losers and borrowers are winners. For whatever reason, you should always be careful when using borrowed money.

Make Long-Term Investments

Look at this advice in terms of sellers: “Give me your money to keep me for years, and I’ll get certain payments from you over the long term.” The phrase “make long-term investments” is like the advantages that allow you to earn points. You become a loyal customer.

Depending on the payments you make to manage the fund, mutual funds may not earn you as much money as other investments.

Diversify Diversify Diversify

Warren Buffet, considered the richest investor in the world, says this about diversification: “Diversification is a safeguard against ignorance. It won’t make much sense if you know what you’re doing. “

Then the question arises: Whose ignorance do you protect yourself from? Is it your own ignorance or the ignorance of your financial advisor?

Diversification generally means that you should not put all the eggs in the same basket. Warren Buffet puts them all in the same basket. He once said: “Put all your eggs in one basket, but watch your basket carefully.”

Personally, I prefer to focus rather than diversify, and actually the reason I was able to move forward was focus, not diversification.

I saw an acrostic on focus in a book I read.

For many, diversification is a good strategy. This is only because it protects investors from themselves and inadequate advisors.

The traditional financial planning advice “work hard, save money, get rid of your debts, make long-term investments and diversify” is good for the average. This advice is also good for those who are rich but are not interested in learning how to become an investor. Many movie stars, wealthy professionals, or former athletes do that. Just remember that while following this path, you will have a very small leverage.

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